← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 68381
Observed , by baseline/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://api.seerium.xyz/v1/prediction/cross-venue-disagreement
- Recorded
- Previous row
- None: the first of its kind about this subject
- Body SHA-256
- 6a9ea9e3bf64f4fb949339ec21c00fe746a048507f023899a4eb81deb093ad76
- Leaf
- 0x5e256671b3915e7bbd80affebd7755db1ff9fc93c0f06e47d8bc49405e9c660b
What was observed
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"groups": 42,
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"rows": [
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"higher": {
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"endDateIso": "2026-05-31T20:00:00.000Z",
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"yesPrice": 0.5
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"noPrice": 0.6,
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"question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100,000 on May 31, 2026?",
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"yesAsk": 0.41,
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"yesPrice": 0.4
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"markets": [
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"eventSlug": "bitcoin-price-may-31-2026",
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"noPrice": 0.6,
"price": 0.4,
"question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100,000 on May 31, 2026?",
"seriesSlug": "bitcoin",
"seriesTicker": null,
"source": "polymarket",
"sourceUpdatedAt": "2026-05-31T15:55:00.000Z",
"volume": 129300,
"volume24h": 18450,
"yesAsk": 0.41,
"yesBid": 0.39,
"yesPrice": 0.4
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{
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"eventSlug": "bitcoin-price-may-31-2026",
"eventTitle": "Bitcoin price on May 31, 2026",
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"lastPrice": 0.5,
"liquidity": 12800,
"marketSlug": "kxbtc-26may31-b100000",
"marketTicker": "KXBTC-26MAY31-B100000",
"noAsk": 0.51,
"noBid": 0.49,
"noPrice": 0.5,
"price": 0.5,
"question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100,000 on May 31, 2026?",
"seriesSlug": "bitcoin",
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"source": "kalshi",
"sourceUpdatedAt": "2026-05-31T15:56:00.000Z",
"volume": 193200,
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"yesAsk": 0.51,
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"yesPrice": 0.5
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"matchType": "strong",
"matchedOn": {
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"directionKey": "above",
"eventKey": "bitcoin price on may 31 2026",
"numericKey": "100000|31|2026",
"subjectKey": "will bitcoin be above 100000 on may 31 2026",
"type": "strong"
},
"minutesUntilEnd": 240,
"outcome": "yes",
"rationale": "kalshi prices YES 10 points above polymarket on a strong cross-venue match.",
"sources": [
"polymarket",
"kalshi"
],
"topic": "Bitcoin price on May 31, 2026: Will Bitcoin be above $100,000 on May 31, 2026?",
"totalLiquidity": 22200,
"totalVolume24h": 46900
}
],
"sourceCounts": {
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"kalshi": 4,
"polymarket": 5
},
"sourceUpdatedAt": {
"gemini": "2026-05-31T15:54:30.000Z",
"kalshi": "2026-05-31T15:56:00.000Z",
"polymarket": "2026-05-31T15:55:00.000Z"
},
"timestamp": 1760000000000,
"totalCandidates": 14,
"warnings": []
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"id": "prediction-cross-venue-disagreement",
"method": "GET",
"name": "Cross-Venue Prediction Market Disagreement API",
"networks": [
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"limit": {
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"maximum": 100,
"minimum": 1,
"type": "number"
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"minGap": {
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"minimum": 0,
"type": "number"
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"lastUpdated": "2026-10-08T06:09:39.593Z",
"quality": {
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"l30DaysUniquePayers": 1,
"lastCalledAt": "2026-10-08T06:09:39.465Z"
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"resource": "https://api.seerium.xyz/v1/prediction/cross-venue-disagreement",
"type": "http",
"x402Version": 2
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"source": "x402_bazaar",
"summary": "Cross-venue prediction market disagreement API for Polymarket, Kalshi, and Gemini. Finds active related markets where venues price the same YES or NO outcome differently, with match confidence, price gap, liquidity, volume, and market identifiers."
}What the leaf hashes
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- Day root
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- Chained
- 0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a
- Published
- On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae