← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 68103
Observed , by baseline/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/spain/general-2026/provinces
- Recorded
- Previous row
- None: the first of its kind about this subject
- Body SHA-256
- 5ec86d2bb9c40ddb8f3aaf56ce028b8c30922371b65fdee666cec216dcc1f568
- Leaf
- 0xbdae04ec7f6cc32b3d5903bf7a953381eefdc04734d8b2860244a97e50eb05fb
What was observed
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"name": "polls.karbach.digital",
"owner_address": "0x6d8444caed95d9155785da10ac00247948957d61",
"raw": {
"accepts": [
{
"amount": "50000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
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"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x6d8444CaEd95D9155785Da10aC00247948957D61",
"scheme": "exact"
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],
"description": "Spanish general election 2026, all 52 constituencies: median seats per list, vote share, seat order, last seat. Blackout 24 to 29 Nov 2026. After polls close: official count per constituency, forecast for comparison. Use when asked about seats or the result in a Spanish province (Madrid, Barcelona, ...) in 2026, or which party is fighting for the last seat there. Source-attributed. Refused (503, not charged) if data is older than 26 hours.",
"extensions": {
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"from": "2026-11-24T00:00:00+01:00",
"note": "From 24 Nov 2026 00:00 until polls close on 29 Nov 2026 21:00 (Madrid time) this endpoint is unavailable (HTTP 503, nothing is charged). The last forecast be...",
"until": "2026-11-29T21:00:00+01:00"
},
"constituencies": [
{
"constituency": "A Coruña",
"first_out": {
"list": "PSOE",
"quotient": 0
},
"first_out_in_100": {
"BNG": 0,
"Links": 0,
"PP": 0,
"PSOE": 0,
"Vox": 0
},
"last_seat_duels": [
{},
{}
],
"last_seat_gap": {
"points": 0,
"quotient": 0,
"votes_approx": 0
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"last_seat_in_100": {
"BNG": 0,
"Links": 0,
"PP": 0,
"PSOE": 0,
"Vox": 0
},
"modelled_vote_share_pct": {
"BNG": 0,
"Links": 0,
"PP": 0,
"PSOE": 0,
"Podemos": 0,
"SALF": 0,
"Vox": 0
},
"region": "GA",
"seat_order": [
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{}
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"seats": 0,
"seats_median": {
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"PSOE": 0
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"swing_seats": 0
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{
"constituency": "Albacete",
"first_out": {
"list": "PSOE",
"quotient": 0
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"first_out_in_100": {
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"PSOE": 0,
"Vox": 0
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"Podemos": 0,
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"region": "CM",
"seat_order": [
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{}
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"seats": 0,
"seats_median": {
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"PSOE": 0,
"Vox": 0
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}
],
"date": "0000-00-00",
"election": "es-2026",
"note": "seats_median per list can differ from the national median by one seat in sum. swing_seats: how many seats change list on average versus the median allocation..."
},
"docs": "https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/",
"model": null,
"notice": "Scenario analysis based on published opinion polls. Not a prediction and not a voting recommendation. Coalition figures count simulated seat majorities (see ...",
"project": "Ein Projekt von Karbach.Digital (https://karbach.digital)",
"source": {
"blackout": "Spanish electoral law (art. 69.7 LOREG) bans publishing polls from 24 Nov 2026 00:00 until polls close on 29 Nov 2026 (21:00 Madrid time, Canary Islands). Du...",
"license": "CC BY-SA 4.0 (share alike, because the poll compilation is CC BY-SA)",
"polls": "Spanish polling institutes as compiled on en.wikipedia.org (Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election)",
"polls_license": "CC BY-SA 4.0",
"processing": "polls.karbach.digital (Max Karbach)",
"results_2023": "en.wikipedia.org constituency pages (CC BY-SA 4.0)",
"seats_per_constituency": "Real Decreto 806/2026, Boletín Oficial del Estado (BOE-A-2026-20742)"
},
"uncertainty": "Medians from 5,000 simulations; small provinces can flip their last seat on a few thousand votes.",
"updated_at": "0000-00-00 00:00"
},
"type": "json"
}
},
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},
"lastUpdated": "2026-10-21T22:08:54.648Z",
"quality": {
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"l30DaysUniquePayers": 1,
"lastCalledAt": "2026-10-21T22:08:54.455Z"
},
"resource": "https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/spain/general-2026/provinces",
"serviceName": "polls.karbach.digital",
"tags": [
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],
"type": "http",
"x402Version": 2
},
"source": "x402_bazaar",
"summary": "Spanish general election 2026, all 52 constituencies: median seats per list, vote share, seat order, last seat. Blackout 24 to 29 Nov 2026. After polls close: official count per constituency, forecast for comparison. Use when asked about seats or the result in a Spanish province (Madrid, Barcelona, ...) in 2026, or which party is fighting for the last seat there. Source-attributed. Refused (503, not charged) if data is older than 26 hours."
}What the leaf hashes
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Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of (296695 rows).
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- Day root
- 0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8
- Chained
- 0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a
- Published
- On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae