← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 68090
Observed , by baseline/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/live/:id
- Recorded
- Previous row
- None: the first of its kind about this subject
- Body SHA-256
- f86bac9bf41dad17a365fd4e56b3cbf67e3c26cc731a52bef538a1187955308e
- Leaf
- 0xe374f61a271a4b455c2365c61483b69960962ee76b3506b071e2f2df779f9547
What was observed
{
"endpoints": [
[
"x402",
"https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/live/:id"
]
],
"name": "polls.karbach.digital",
"owner_address": "0x6d8444caed95d9155785da10ac00247948957d61",
"raw": {
"accepts": [
{
"amount": "10000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x6d8444CaEd95D9155785Da10aC00247948957D61",
"scheme": "exact"
}
],
"description": "Election night: counted share, turnout, results so far and deviation from the forecast. Use on German election nights for the current count. Source-attributed, German data, updated every six hours.",
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"method": "GET",
"pathParams": {
"id": "mv-2026"
},
"type": "http"
},
"output": {
"example": {
"data": {
"actual": {
"AfD": 38.2,
"BSW": 4.8,
"Bündnis C": 0.1,
"CDU": 4.9,
"Die PARTEI": 0.3,
"FDP": 1,
"FW": 0.4,
"Grüne": 5.7,
"Handwerker Partei Deutschland": 0.5,
"Linke": 6.5,
"PIRATEN": 0.2,
"SPD": 35.5,
"Tierschutzpartei": 1.1,
"ÖDP": 0.1
},
"counted_pct": 100,
"deviation_pp": {
"AfD": 1.4,
"BSW": 0.8,
"CDU": -1.7,
"FDP": -1,
"Grüne": 0.6,
"Linke": -3.3,
"SPD": 1.3
},
"election_id": "mv-2026",
"is_final": true,
"mae": 1.44,
"predicted": {
"AfD": 36.8,
"BSW": 4,
"CDU": 6.6,
"FDP": 2,
"Grüne": 5.1,
"Linke": 9.8,
"SPD": 34.2
},
"turnout": 78.1,
"wahl_datum": "2026-09-20",
"wahl_name": "Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern"
},
"docs": "https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/",
"model": null,
"notice": "Scenario analysis based on published opinion polls. Not a prediction and not a voting recommendation. Coalitions are arithmetic majorities only, not statemen...",
"project": "Ein Projekt von Karbach.Digital (https://karbach.digital)",
"source": {
"count": "Landeswahlleitung Mecklenburg-Vorpommern",
"polls": "dawum.de",
"polls_license": "ODbL 1.0",
"polls_license_url": "https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/",
"processing": "polls.karbach.digital (Max Karbach)"
},
"uncertainty": "During the count actual shares move; is_final marks the official preliminary result.",
"updated_at": "2026-09-21T02:57:01.985630"
},
"type": "json"
}
},
"routeTemplate": "/v1/live/:id",
"schema": {
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"input": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET",
"HEAD",
"DELETE"
],
"type": "string"
},
"pathParams": {
"properties": {
"id": {
"description": "election id like sl-2027 (see /v1/elections) or member slug/id",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"id"
],
"type": "object"
},
"queryParams": {
"properties": {},
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"type": "object"
}
}
},
"lastUpdated": "2026-10-18T14:02:45.439Z",
"quality": {
"l30DaysTotalCalls": 1,
"l30DaysUniquePayers": 1,
"lastCalledAt": "2026-10-18T14:02:45.245Z"
},
"resource": "https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/live/:id",
"serviceName": "polls.karbach.digital",
"tags": [
"elections",
"germany",
"polls",
"politics",
"bundestag"
],
"type": "http",
"x402Version": 2
},
"source": "x402_bazaar",
"summary": "Election night: counted share, turnout, results so far and deviation from the forecast. Use on German election nights for the current count. Source-attributed, German data, updated every six hours."
}What the leaf hashes
{"body":"f86bac9bf41dad17a365fd4e56b3cbf67e3c26cc731a52bef538a1187955308e","id":68090,"kind":"listing","method":"baseline/1","observed_us":1793025466168752,"prev":null,"subject":"x402_bazaar:https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/live/:id","subject_kind":"source_record"}Proof
Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of (296695 rows).
- 0xe37508303766ed0e32ed50067c19a7d9b14b246acab74227ff5b349a8f6dc06e
- 0xc3e80651e33aacf811389a98f45fdd846f3081a69acacbca5d1c77c8b3eeea29
- 0xa6d01f35400a7216b68dd2ee4b7398a29e5c64bdf47fc4e69926df0e1694f86a
- 0x5151ff1ba769b9cb62c8c917ae165e775976718d15808b190a8187e3b2a5e0b1
- 0x4187e430e2c63bc7df8b5c77e99db52029a5704720b816aa2e9cdd002b3efb6a
- 0xa357da8a360f5e01cb6fe9eb4e239c20bdfe45cfb5942b741080d0b0db800239
- 0x0f0d0a09d7546e0d7ccc71441e49e045775b25a3df54a37f13254f3892b02fda
- 0xc957037285f79fa76a0ceab737b26f150d9925ab7396b494ce813b48a755a35f
- 0xf64d68c7513850f261db3fb5e203dff7235733de2dda42d2f91ab2886967fe21
- 0x524cdad3ff21631a037fd9cf4afb42f4fe79c72ee7a2da0b514327762fb35ecc
- 0xb545b804be0d2933a674be6ac915c6c6235897d0274e66143aa7cf879b9d86a3
- 0x8e135936797442c4eea61915f2c9f8f6df06e1322204cd0e6986ada3e54c77cc
- 0xc0924a0807e534382f518663123231c317124338831a2b310de2c17b09677086
- 0x9bc5fc98278b9f6dc18c66c6e162aefd5244be03170d41bc5161f58ad11beed7
- 0x95657a7d540ed6cac0bde9995782333b2562a9a6641853269ac95148827410f0
- 0x5fb5dda563336cd1bc1b9f44c52b76237ae72ed2145cb9290f39f304ca7dd678
- 0x74a0a08e4e7ab9aa5bfbead33dec7e1c7e8e364cff69a63720d764bbe987aadc
- Day root
- 0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8
- Chained
- 0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a
- Published
- On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae