← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 68086
Observed , by baseline/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/france/presidential-2027/polls
- Recorded
- Previous row
- None: the first of its kind about this subject
- Body SHA-256
- 720cdef521cb529d73e61a9a918e00eaee0e635c663928707e6ac911bebb57f7
- Leaf
- 0x0223d4a58bce303b075202a0d496a8dfd9f09268de8ea6e43b4a566a255a1de3
What was observed
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"description": "French presidential election 2027: all first-round polls with every scenario, runoff polls, sample, fieldwork and link to the official Commission des sondages notice. Unavailable during the legal blackout (17 to 18 Apr and 1 to 2 May 2027). Use when you need individual French presidential polls with scenarios and official notices. Source-attributed. Refused (503, not charged) if data is older than 30 hours.",
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"text": "Bruno Retailleau est désigné candidat des Républicains (LR) par les adhérents du parti"
},
{
"date": "0000-00-00",
"text": "Bruno Retailleau est élu président des Républicains"
}
],
"first_round": [
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"fieldwork": "0-0 octobre",
"notice": "https://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/0000/octobre/00000-pres-iv-toluna-harris-interactive-00-octobre.pdf",
"pollster": "Harris",
"sample": 0,
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{}
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{
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"pollster": "Ipsos",
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"pair": [
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"Mélenchon": "LFI"
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"pair": [
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"Philippe"
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"Philippe": "HOR"
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"pollster": "Harris",
"sample": 0,
"values": {
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"model": null,
"notice": "Scenario analysis based on published opinion polls. Not a prediction and not a voting recommendation. Coalition figures count simulated seat majorities (see ...",
"project": "Ein Projekt von Karbach.Digital (https://karbach.digital)",
"source": {
"blackout": "French law (Loi 77-808, art. 11, as amended 2016) bans publishing polls from the Saturday before each round, 00:00, until polls close on election day, 20:00 ...",
"calibration": "poll average vs official results 2017 and 2022 at the same distance to election day",
"compilation": "fr.wikipedia.org, Liste de sondages sur l'élection présidentielle française de 2027 (CC BY-SA 4.0)",
"license": "CC BY-SA 4.0 (share alike, because the poll compilation is CC BY-SA)",
"polls": "French polling institutes; every poll is filed with the Commission des sondages (link per poll)",
"polls_license": "ODbL 1.0",
"polls_license_url": "https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/",
"processing": "polls.karbach.digital (Max Karbach)"
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"uncertainty": null,
"updated_at": "0000-00-00T00:00:00"
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"summary": "French presidential election 2027: all first-round polls with every scenario, runoff polls, sample, fieldwork and link to the official Commission des sondages notice. Unavailable during the legal blackout (17 to 18 Apr and 1 to 2 May 2027). Use when you need individual French presidential polls with scenarios and official notices. Source-attributed. Refused (503, not charged) if data is older than 30 hours."
}What the leaf hashes
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- Day root
- 0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8
- Chained
- 0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a
- Published
- On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae