Evidence row 66584

What was observed

{
  "endpoints": [
    [
      "x402",
      "https://api.hodlodds.com/v1/risk/:mint/last"
    ]
  ],
  "name": "HodlOdds",
  "owner_address": "0x750516764ee7459d00393e4f8c8bd4886ed25fd5",
  "raw": {
    "accepts": [
      {
        "amount": "2000",
        "asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
        "extra": {
          "feePayer": "BENrLoUbndxoNMUS5JXApGMtNykLjFXXixMtpDwDR9SP",
          "paymentFlow": "authorization"
        },
        "maxTimeoutSeconds": 60,
        "network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
        "payTo": "HpmX6jRpRahpsac32kGNVV7JnPmVLNuUtwvREU5EzCjp",
        "scheme": "exact"
      },
      {
        "amount": "2000",
        "asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
        "extra": {
          "name": "USD Coin",
          "paymentFlow": "authorization",
          "version": "2"
        },
        "maxTimeoutSeconds": 60,
        "network": "eip155:8453",
        "payTo": "0x750516764ee7459d00393e4f8C8Bd4886Ed25FD5",
        "scheme": "exact"
      }
    ],
    "description": "Last known SOL-token crash odds, at most 30 minutes old",
    "extensions": {
      "bazaar": {
        "info": {
          "input": {
            "method": "GET",
            "pathParams": {
              "mint": "68amTKNHXLk5obsWzyRhrXDvzNRcbK3QymoroexWpump"
            },
            "type": "http"
          },
          "output": {
            "example": {
              "age_s": 600,
              "as_of": 1792249200,
              "coverage": {
                "abstained": 10,
                "active": 660,
                "experimental_abstained": 4,
                "experimental_quotes": [
                  "USDC",
                  "PUMP"
                ],
                "experimental_scored": 75,
                "scored": 650,
                "universe": "Illustrative active SOL-quoted pump.fun graduates"
              },
              "covered": true,
              "definition": "A crash is a completed 1-minute close in SOL at least 90% below the reference price within 60 minutes.",
              "expires_at": 1792249350,
              "freshness": "stale",
              "horizon_end": 1792252800,
              "horizon_remaining_s": 2970,
              "issued_at": 1792249230,
              "model": {
                "hashes": {
                  "meta": "bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb",
                  "model": "aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa"
                },
                "id": "example-bf-frozen"
              },
              "row": {
                "age_min": 240,
                "asset": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp/token:11111111111111111111111111111111pump",
                "band": {
                  "basis": "Historical weekly BF refits, Sep 1–Oct 14 excluding Sep 20; already-seen evidence, not this frozen fit.",
                  "hi": 0.05,
                  "historical_observed": 0.038,
                  "lo": 0.02,
                  "n": 77515
                },
                "chain": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
                "chain_name": "Solana",
                "confidence": {
                  "band": {
                    "hi": 0.05,
                    "lo": 0.02,
                    "n": 77515,
                    "obs": 0.038,
                    "positives": 2945.5699999999997,
                    "pred": 0.0337
                  },
                  "basis": "Historical validation of weekly BF refits, September 1 through October 14, 2026 excluding September 20; already-seen data, not measured calibration of the frozen serving fit.",
                  "direction": null,
                  "level": "medium",
                  "reasons": [
                    "stale data: 10 min old"
                  ],
                  "rule_version": "hodlodds.confidence.v1"
                },
                "dd_60": 0.96,
                "market_status": "available",
                "mint": "11111111111111111111111111111111pump",
                "name": "Illustrative token",
                "p_crash_60m": 0.031,
                "platform": "pumpfun",
                "resq_sol": 125.5,
                "ret_5": -0.014,
                "ret_60": 0.023,
                "summary": "Last known (10 min old): 3.1% chance of a 90%+ price drop within 60 minutes (about 3.1 in 100). Low odds are not a safety signal.",
                "symbol": "EXAMPLE",
                "trades_5": 32
              },
              "schema": "hodlodds.answer.v1",
              "stale": true
            },
            "type": "json"
          }
        },
        "routeTemplate": "/v1/risk/:mint/last",
        "schema": {
          "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
          "properties": {
            "input": {
              "additionalProperties": false,
              "properties": {
                "method": {
                  "enum": [
                    "GET",
                    "HEAD",
                    "DELETE"
                  ],
                  "type": "string"
                },
                "pathParams": {
                  "properties": {
                    "mint": {
                      "pattern": "^[1-9A-HJ-NP-Za-km-z]{32,44}$",
                      "type": "string"
                    }
                  },
                  "required": [
                    "mint"
                  ],
                  "type": "object"
                },
                "queryParams": {
                  "additionalProperties": false,
                  "properties": {
                    "chain": {
                      "items": {
                        "type": "string"
                      },
                      "maxItems": 10,
                      "minItems": 1,
                      "type": "array",
                      "uniqueItems": true
                    },
                    "platform": {
                      "items": {
                        "type": "string"
                      },
                      "maxItems": 10,
                      "minItems": 1,
                      "type": "array",
                      "uniqueItems": true
                    }
                  },
                  "type": "object"
                },
                "type": {
                  "const": "http",
                  "type": "string"
                }
              },
              "required": [
                "type",
                "method"
              ],
              "type": "object"
            },
            "output": {
              "properties": {
                "example": {
                  "type": "object"
                },
                "type": {
                  "type": "string"
                }
              },
              "required": [
                "type"
              ],
              "type": "object"
            }
          },
          "required": [
            "input"
          ],
          "type": "object"
        }
      }
    },
    "lastUpdated": "2026-10-20T16:47:00.606Z",
    "quality": {
      "l30DaysTotalCalls": 44,
      "l30DaysUniquePayers": 2,
      "lastCalledAt": "2026-10-20T16:47:02.197Z"
    },
    "resource": "https://api.hodlodds.com/v1/risk/:mint/last",
    "serviceName": "HodlOdds",
    "tags": [
      "solana",
      "base",
      "analytics",
      "crash-risk"
    ],
    "type": "http",
    "x402Version": 2
  },
  "source": "x402_bazaar",
  "summary": "Last known SOL-token crash odds, at most 30 minutes old"
}

What the leaf hashes

{"body":"469c2c546882276ba0cd2cb91f9dad1e2fd2fdb6bc185d69d88b125ad75cda12","id":66584,"kind":"listing","method":"baseline/1","observed_us":1793025460837743,"prev":null,"subject":"x402_bazaar:https://api.hodlodds.com/v1/risk/:mint/last","subject_kind":"source_record"}

Proof

Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of 2026-10-26 (296695 rows).

1. 0xce4badec16d6a20982530518b0f15d28498660f4b7c1e8cd10fd227dd2ea40f7
2. 0x57f46e20959233d01c86d34dd82009f9f57a5405f64663490b239e8fe4e71e2b
3. 0xf21bc06c6e85cc4b75b926c8bc99977c97f86be4fadf5c1e74f339f9ad31a008
4. 0x8f90d180d282866f8cd5d985b398138eaf28417233ca2c228f188d103130372c
5. 0x52b1fbd19e57d3bedd2e2a71e889310a8091e6016055671b5792b580da8058f9
6. 0x586bba6064656a9220613c040f0682ee90ed96ec7d76af0a401c1c7efe80c312
7. 0x4ae71c7a4709c7caa3022ea45cd8fc6de8bb930a0a1c7e93fed9ae43e8d50c31
8. 0xd95da7330f600b5165856f49da8fdfa6960d51bc16395bbbd3a0179d7c9f4a91
9. 0x97dfc281379e4e08f95e76e04e8576366bfef3081095c78cabf9886de48c8e0a
10. 0x2ade4beca319f9877e5b22694d275fbcb1a94a2e38ad058893960d379e44e892
11. 0xd57a32d9d2666c4270544dcb78bbea2f4774705d3879a86973628e2542543e62
12. 0xa45f4438c9296b0ba586fc2eec9f0202e5d3c61a1d3adc975b80f6a1f4a5ca57
13. 0xe43762a621da83c0b4b63f549cd2e19c428ac702bfc1038d70233867b06c447f
14. 0xefabf1105e09cf52c12c58e60cbb5048b9ac3f02631d1816a926e14bdd86fbdf
15. 0xe94ca5b798e9899ad611e57835af42266e20f53f44977e487d81365e30972beb
16. 0x703f95866af09c5e5d6ead7411e9a10f964a41a2aff64d4a55ff0053c023a023
17. 0xd0651cb9bc8155eb52b5247d506e74b8a935057dc190ba52091702ac25ed3a40
18. 0x9a9024edb5069d88a324facb310a5ce8e495214bbaa968f077bede437390194f
19. 0x9b9ce5b74b9bab5121612ef6b64920a8d453cbf311096a423eef9702747e868a

Day root

0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8

Chained

0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a

Published

On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae