Evidence row 66583

What was observed

{
  "endpoints": [
    [
      "x402",
      "https://api.hodlodds.com/v1/risk/:mint"
    ]
  ],
  "name": "HodlOdds",
  "owner_address": "0x750516764ee7459d00393e4f8c8bd4886ed25fd5",
  "raw": {
    "accepts": [
      {
        "amount": "10000",
        "asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
        "extra": {
          "feePayer": "BFK9TLC3edb13K6v4YyH3DwPb5DSUpkWvb7XnqCL9b4F",
          "paymentFlow": "authorization"
        },
        "maxTimeoutSeconds": 60,
        "network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
        "payTo": "HpmX6jRpRahpsac32kGNVV7JnPmVLNuUtwvREU5EzCjp",
        "scheme": "exact"
      },
      {
        "amount": "10000",
        "asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
        "extra": {
          "name": "USD Coin",
          "paymentFlow": "authorization",
          "version": "2"
        },
        "maxTimeoutSeconds": 60,
        "network": "eip155:8453",
        "payTo": "0x750516764ee7459d00393e4f8C8Bd4886Ed25FD5",
        "scheme": "exact"
      }
    ],
    "description": "Fresh, covered SOL-token crash odds",
    "extensions": {
      "bazaar": {
        "info": {
          "input": {
            "method": "GET",
            "pathParams": {
              "mint": "68amTKNHXLk5obsWzyRhrXDvzNRcbK3QymoroexWpump"
            },
            "type": "http"
          },
          "output": {
            "example": {
              "as_of": 1792249200,
              "coverage": {
                "abstained": 10,
                "active": 660,
                "experimental_abstained": 4,
                "experimental_quotes": [
                  "USDC",
                  "PUMP"
                ],
                "experimental_scored": 75,
                "scored": 650,
                "universe": "Illustrative active SOL-quoted pump.fun graduates"
              },
              "covered": true,
              "definition": "A crash is a completed 1-minute close in SOL at least 90% below the reference price within 60 minutes.",
              "expires_at": 1792249350,
              "horizon_end": 1792252800,
              "issued_at": 1792249230,
              "model": {
                "hashes": {
                  "meta": "bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb",
                  "model": "aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa"
                },
                "id": "example-bf-frozen"
              },
              "row": {
                "age_min": 240,
                "asset": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp/token:11111111111111111111111111111111pump",
                "band": {
                  "basis": "Historical weekly BF refits, Sep 1–Oct 14 excluding Sep 20; already-seen evidence, not this frozen fit.",
                  "hi": 0.05,
                  "historical_observed": 0.038,
                  "lo": 0.02,
                  "n": 77515
                },
                "chain": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
                "chain_name": "Solana",
                "confidence": {
                  "band": {
                    "hi": 0.05,
                    "lo": 0.02,
                    "n": 77515,
                    "obs": 0.038,
                    "positives": 2945.5699999999997,
                    "pred": 0.0337
                  },
                  "basis": "Historical validation of weekly BF refits, September 1 through October 14, 2026 excluding September 20; already-seen data, not measured calibration of the frozen serving fit.",
                  "direction": null,
                  "level": "high",
                  "reasons": [],
                  "rule_version": "hodlodds.confidence.v1"
                },
                "dd_60": 0.96,
                "market_status": "available",
                "mint": "11111111111111111111111111111111pump",
                "name": "Illustrative token",
                "p_crash_60m": 0.031,
                "platform": "pumpfun",
                "resq_sol": 125.5,
                "ret_5": -0.014,
                "ret_60": 0.023,
                "summary": "3.1% chance of a 90%+ price drop within 60 minutes (about 3.1 in 100). Low odds are not a safety signal.",
                "symbol": "EXAMPLE",
                "trades_5": 32
              },
              "schema": "hodlodds.answer.v1"
            },
            "type": "json"
          }
        },
        "routeTemplate": "/v1/risk/:mint",
        "schema": {
          "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
          "properties": {
            "input": {
              "additionalProperties": false,
              "properties": {
                "method": {
                  "enum": [
                    "GET",
                    "HEAD",
                    "DELETE"
                  ],
                  "type": "string"
                },
                "pathParams": {
                  "properties": {
                    "mint": {
                      "pattern": "^[1-9A-HJ-NP-Za-km-z]{32,44}$",
                      "type": "string"
                    }
                  },
                  "required": [
                    "mint"
                  ],
                  "type": "object"
                },
                "queryParams": {
                  "additionalProperties": false,
                  "properties": {
                    "chain": {
                      "items": {
                        "type": "string"
                      },
                      "maxItems": 10,
                      "minItems": 1,
                      "type": "array",
                      "uniqueItems": true
                    },
                    "platform": {
                      "items": {
                        "type": "string"
                      },
                      "maxItems": 10,
                      "minItems": 1,
                      "type": "array",
                      "uniqueItems": true
                    }
                  },
                  "type": "object"
                },
                "type": {
                  "const": "http",
                  "type": "string"
                }
              },
              "required": [
                "type",
                "method"
              ],
              "type": "object"
            },
            "output": {
              "properties": {
                "example": {
                  "type": "object"
                },
                "type": {
                  "type": "string"
                }
              },
              "required": [
                "type"
              ],
              "type": "object"
            }
          },
          "required": [
            "input"
          ],
          "type": "object"
        }
      }
    },
    "lastUpdated": "2026-10-20T16:26:02.119Z",
    "quality": {
      "l30DaysTotalCalls": 5,
      "l30DaysUniquePayers": 2,
      "lastCalledAt": "2026-10-20T16:26:01.891Z"
    },
    "resource": "https://api.hodlodds.com/v1/risk/:mint",
    "serviceName": "HodlOdds",
    "tags": [
      "solana",
      "base",
      "analytics",
      "crash-risk"
    ],
    "type": "http",
    "x402Version": 2
  },
  "source": "x402_bazaar",
  "summary": "Fresh, covered SOL-token crash odds"
}

What the leaf hashes

{"body":"2f3d20d6fca372644176481a98955c2359cd028ff768cb6f5f3b77a3021e9091","id":66583,"kind":"listing","method":"baseline/1","observed_us":1793025460836131,"prev":null,"subject":"x402_bazaar:https://api.hodlodds.com/v1/risk/:mint","subject_kind":"source_record"}

Proof

Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of 2026-10-26 (296695 rows).

1. 0xea88d4d45acb96542f53826cdba2b6550f543c97b64a1392b790fd95b3db7e36
2. 0x5befb83afae7f0b5249c6e6b634b0241d4c23dad0e0816be3d4b3b64feaa9c6b
3. 0xd2e27dbda90b2961b187580ac204f549d36b34dcb61bb14d928e44dd9d026b61
4. 0x135430a83a41702b0e95958dcb501b3e2b8d5b4946a03b9a4c3216ca0f693acd
5. 0xba61f983728a3983013fa577c6a0f8af3199b346bf055ffd1e686f4408b95b8a
6. 0xc54a961a0ad964d64fec1c494fda5a843594114f8e0761c673737aaf10acac82
7. 0x19d813092a9b62957a4b473dd9ca7c2e91f3c39b22cde65e400486afb3fd6ff4
8. 0x1b479ee6501c77be6640c987a82ece503e1478c671309f6ae8e839b73dac9764
9. 0xc9f660e7fd6ee4e67e210e92a1fbfffc05d279c753fd0df2747120ced4da24cf
10. 0x0b1df5c288d250f6413df247eae63beacd780bb30cceb7665cb037a67632c66b
11. 0xdcbb0cc500d2b659c111afe9a926b2aafdcc6f6d034768498b0b7295973f9245
12. 0x22a204f0cf299dd3152f1542ba9998ff7665390da1ede6e58d06b8a7b2a107ee
13. 0xec98ca25cb12ffed7c3e1373971719ce414ee6deecd1e7724b2979e2c356d99f
14. 0x614d844c9e0509d9f9e63697aa2935555bce5f13695a8dc0047aa9e9898d70b3
15. 0x95657a7d540ed6cac0bde9995782333b2562a9a6641853269ac95148827410f0
16. 0x5fb5dda563336cd1bc1b9f44c52b76237ae72ed2145cb9290f39f304ca7dd678
17. 0x74a0a08e4e7ab9aa5bfbead33dec7e1c7e8e364cff69a63720d764bbe987aadc

Day root

0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8

Chained

0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a

Published

On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae