← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 64225
Observed , by baseline/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://agentx402pay.com/api/prediction-arb
- Recorded
- Previous row
- None: the first of its kind about this subject
- Body SHA-256
- d5181bee7cd7e72ba762deaa68dc78fee305629a53b792f5fb73165c2cc44232
- Leaf
- 0x1a77df4e810d400dbbc73d09fcb9de3c87a194f672f6865985208418d6981cb6
What was observed
{
"endpoints": [
[
"x402",
"https://agentx402pay.com/api/prediction-arb"
]
],
"name": "agentx402pay.com/api/prediction-arb",
"owner_address": "0xb2bdc37b8481f4cdcf38402cfcd446ae5133beef",
"raw": {
"accepts": [
{
"amount": "50000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0xB2BDc37b8481F4CdCF38402CFCd446Ae5133BeeF",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "50000",
"asset": "0x3c499c542cEF5E3811e1192ce70d8cC03d5c3359",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:137",
"payTo": "0xB2BDc37b8481F4CdCF38402CFCd446Ae5133BeeF",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "50000",
"asset": "0xaf88d065e77c8cC2239327C5EDb3A432268e5831",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:42161",
"payTo": "0xB2BDc37b8481F4CdCF38402CFCd446Ae5133BeeF",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "50000",
"asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
"extra": {
"feePayer": "BFK9TLC3edb13K6v4YyH3DwPb5DSUpkWvb7XnqCL9b4F"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
"payTo": "FGbmnF4YVfNfh3VCJGGh4VkXxS5X2nzh4sw1UwahSESX",
"scheme": "exact"
}
],
"description": "Find prediction-market questions priced differently on Polymarket vs. Kalshi — a cross-platform divergence signal built from data no single-platform competitor has",
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"limit": "5",
"minDivergencePct": "10"
},
"type": "http"
},
"output": {
"example": {
"count": 1,
"matches": [
{
"cheaperYesOn": "kalshi",
"divergencePct": 12.4,
"kalshi": {
"subTitle": null,
"ticker": "KXFED-99",
"title": "Fed cuts rates at September FOMC meeting?",
"yesProbability": 0.496
},
"matchScore": 0.5,
"polymarket": {
"question": "Will the Fed cut rates in September?",
"slug": "example-market",
"volume24hr": 45678.9,
"yesProbability": 0.62
}
}
],
"minDivergencePct": 10,
"note": "Matches are found by keyword-overlap similarity...",
"query": null
},
"type": "json"
}
},
"schema": {
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"input": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"properties": {
"limit": {
"description": "Max matches to return, 1-25 (default 10)",
"type": "string"
},
"minDivergencePct": {
"description": "Minimum probability-point divergence to include, 0-100 (default 5)",
"type": "string"
},
"q": {
"description": "Optional keyword filter on the matched question text",
"type": "string"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"offer-receipt": {
"info": {
"offers": [
{
"acceptIndex": 0,
"format": "eip712",
"payload": {
"amount": "50000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0xB2BDc37b8481F4CdCF38402CFCd446Ae5133BeeF",
"resourceUrl": "https://agentx402pay.com/api/prediction-arb",
"scheme": "exact",
"validUntil": 1792432051,
"version": 1
},
"signature": "0xffb19cac0c6ac315c5556a657feafa7948d40861a11d6fcd3cc6341fa58ee0b93f43a6e90d980e7392fc7a3adc5796cfb3b646cba50c72e3719e86ab9a6200891c"
},
{
"acceptIndex": 1,
"format": "eip712",
"payload": {
"amount": "50000",
"asset": "0x3c499c542cEF5E3811e1192ce70d8cC03d5c3359",
"network": "eip155:137",
"payTo": "0xB2BDc37b8481F4CdCF38402CFCd446Ae5133BeeF",
"resourceUrl": "https://agentx402pay.com/api/prediction-arb",
"scheme": "exact",
"validUntil": 1792432051,
"version": 1
},
"signature": "0x929b970737fcc2eb062bfae107d1706a02bd44e9ac62a8e7f3c9ef552f263b2c5f1a8134dd4c02797c74bac079278093730515ae3cdca8a2c28d66a6ca7fbfd11c"
},
{
"acceptIndex": 2,
"format": "eip712",
"payload": {
"amount": "50000",
"asset": "0xaf88d065e77c8cC2239327C5EDb3A432268e5831",
"network": "eip155:42161",
"payTo": "0xB2BDc37b8481F4CdCF38402CFCd446Ae5133BeeF",
"resourceUrl": "https://agentx402pay.com/api/prediction-arb",
"scheme": "exact",
"validUntil": 1792432051,
"version": 1
},
"signature": "0xbfdb0291802c913e943603f6f0185f933bb5f0a005941caca895730d99a2ecd710b73b2b2d0def595404f24eb829f0c582b9bd34ec8cbcd24942cfdc71ae2b861b"
},
{
"acceptIndex": 3,
"format": "eip712",
"payload": {
"amount": "50000",
"asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
"network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
"payTo": "FGbmnF4YVfNfh3VCJGGh4VkXxS5X2nzh4sw1UwahSESX",
"resourceUrl": "https://agentx402pay.com/api/prediction-arb",
"scheme": "exact",
"validUntil": 1792432051,
"version": 1
},
"signature": "0x3e84751d51631a9dca1e7a3a1d3f110a9f99e2e6522834220333331e91b3fc5c39331740fdfa17f9de923af67151754d56edd79989438eb7dc7e3f0ba362a32e1c"
}
]
},
"schema": {
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"offers": {
"items": {
"properties": {
"acceptIndex": {
"type": "integer"
},
"format": {
"type": "string"
},
"payload": {
"properties": {
"amount": {
"type": "string"
},
"asset": {
"type": "string"
},
"network": {
"type": "string"
},
"payTo": {
"type": "string"
},
"resourceUrl": {
"type": "string"
},
"scheme": {
"type": "string"
},
"validUntil": {
"type": "integer"
},
"version": {
"type": "integer"
}
},
"required": [
"version",
"resourceUrl",
"scheme",
"network",
"asset",
"payTo",
"amount"
],
"type": "object"
},
"signature": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"format",
"signature"
],
"type": "object"
},
"type": "array"
}
},
"required": [
"offers"
],
"type": "object"
}
}
},
"iconUrl": "https://res.cloudinary.com/bdb-prod/image/upload/c_fill,ar_1:1,w_256,h_256,f_auto,q_auto/v1792349576/bazaar-icons/2476206f1e041b3f.png",
"lastUpdated": "2026-10-19T17:42:31.611Z",
"quality": {
"l30DaysTotalCalls": 2,
"l30DaysUniquePayers": 1,
"lastCalledAt": "2026-10-19T17:42:31.446Z"
},
"resource": "https://agentx402pay.com/api/prediction-arb",
"tags": [
"prediction-markets",
"polymarket",
"kalshi",
"arbitrage",
"crypto"
],
"type": "http",
"x402Version": 2
},
"source": "x402_bazaar",
"summary": "Find prediction-market questions priced differently on Polymarket vs. Kalshi — a cross-platform divergence signal built from data no single-platform competitor has"
}What the leaf hashes
{"body":"d5181bee7cd7e72ba762deaa68dc78fee305629a53b792f5fb73165c2cc44232","id":64225,"kind":"listing","method":"baseline/1","observed_us":1793025456340305,"prev":null,"subject":"x402_bazaar:https://agentx402pay.com/api/prediction-arb","subject_kind":"source_record"}Proof
Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of (296695 rows).
- 0x1a77bdfed1d0234eb3c5b67afc4dc7cc6d4956432495de9c38ce23ed26add895
- 0x33c6449f697e1719f4b9afb1c8364a6d48a5770d63c7176d0a578a88bf99b4b0
- 0x7649b1d953d98fc8b0ee82a653f98b1b97602bde82903d7ecf638980642a0641
- 0x05e55fff978ea323f790d6c40ee71e037f1df35efc650e9dfd6f71a5aa3ff774
- 0x4ed0a5dc7abde956355ca846fd41ef8aba429e6fc70f35c4c9e301b4a0010dd3
- 0xae278b64dc9a6c4ad1f7fdf511f237fd44fbae7eb2163d7cffb9866172ba17da
- 0x90ec7a63a30fc941caac9061f2d5abe219029bd8f9a535931584c5140b4b57b2
- 0x77ca1c9a7b86ff04427434ae2173c042d2123500c67c0ea04de50bb976c9454a
- 0x24d5aad156961d9c3f6fc7b13a88e5aab7513d450224f23a56e55a57f094f7fa
- 0xdd23b279d0847860786130eecc85f2b83d5c655bfd9ab282efff968c5d7bdc6d
- 0x6a51e1d524ffd968d6f505e10f76aacd4ae61fc223a88a38ef8820592653c75a
- 0x6a8a72430804a14ec575375f3d0ca4364f58310afb2c2e8c92b72f8b75809db9
- 0xe00c7829e46541e49a308807d357db902e06eff941a833217a8f0dbccd3964f1
- 0x770e4376196188c7fc9ec40f8e218dc0d1cb92bba5fe0425a0edce27ca9a997f
- 0x60582ab4b41e72eb70eb0bce07fbf0fb4d2b62a8bad5be50f5d16d511adc746c
- 0xc6a4d7899a0f442958e26505011190b7cff2483611c1b94eba9043e0ba9ac36e
- 0x8c756542e482157df0c36464d75c937b845e4423dbbcfad08f0cf8d5a16b9a13
- 0x20704208aa6923d6b2450ef74ede87a6e0265d46447926038fe9506e9e154b2d
- 0x9b9ce5b74b9bab5121612ef6b64920a8d453cbf311096a423eef9702747e868a
- Day root
- 0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8
- Chained
- 0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a
- Published
- On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae