← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 56123
Observed , by sync.x402_bazaar/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://pjm-nowcast-production.up.railway.app/v1/spread/probability-card
- Recorded
- Previous row
- None: the first of its kind about this subject
- Body SHA-256
- 29ea98753a367d4f47f0a3ae4392bc3c219d3b3fbfc6b37164b434c9cd6cc3d3
- Leaf
- 0x47da84b5cccded3f2e5c5d5471170bf4ce6ab6131184ed49aefd0b0ca592e785
What was observed
{
"endpoints": [
[
"x402",
"https://pjm-nowcast-production.up.railway.app/v1/spread/probability-card"
]
],
"name": "pjm-nowcast",
"owner_address": "0x34cfb8bdbf16e4484b7da0ed31deed5771b16c8f",
"raw": {
"accepts": [
{
"amount": "250000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxAmountRequired": "250000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 60,
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x34cfb8bdbf16e4484b7da0ed31deed5771b16c8f",
"price": "0.25",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "250000",
"asset": "USDC",
"maxAmountRequired": "250000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 60,
"network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
"payTo": "DCi9X5mmacNGLeJvCw9fdWgX3G8V4QquDn4EuXATkcYr",
"price": "0.25",
"scheme": "exact"
}
],
"description": "PJM zonal spread jump probability. empirical probability card for the evening congestion bar. whenToUse: next on-peak day or trailing congestion-season check. whenNotToUse: month-ahead, season-ahead, Black vol, a price forecast.",
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"body": {
"lookbackDays": 5
},
"bodyType": "json",
"method": "POST",
"type": "http"
},
"output": {
"example": {
"K": 12.4,
"avgPayoff": 1.8,
"hitRate": 0.4,
"sample": {
"dayCount": 5,
"tag": "high-congestion-season"
}
},
"type": "json"
}
},
"schema": {
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"input": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"body": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"asOf": {
"description": "Optional ISO-8601 sample end. Default: now.",
"type": "string"
},
"lookbackDays": {
"default": 5,
"description": "Trailing on-peak EPT weekdays (skip weekends and NERC holidays). Default 5, max 30.",
"maximum": 30,
"minimum": 1,
"type": "integer"
}
},
"required": [
"lookbackDays"
],
"type": "object"
},
"bodyType": {
"enum": [
"json",
"form-data",
"text"
],
"type": "string"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"POST",
"PUT",
"PATCH"
],
"type": "string"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"bodyType",
"body"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"description": "empirical probability card. Empirical only. Not a forecast, not a mid.",
"example": {
"K": 12.4,
"avgPayoff": 1.8,
"hitRate": 0.4,
"sample": {
"dayCount": 5,
"tag": "high-congestion-season"
}
},
"properties": {
"K": {
"type": "number"
},
"avgPayoff": {
"type": "number"
},
"buyerBeware": {
"type": "string"
},
"dailyMaxP50": {
"type": "number"
},
"dailyMaxP95": {
"type": "number"
},
"hitDays": {
"type": "integer"
},
"hitRate": {
"type": "number"
},
"latestCompleteDay": {
"type": "object"
},
"latestNowcast": {
"type": "object"
},
"sample": {
"properties": {
"dayCount": {
"type": "integer"
},
"firstEptDate": {
"type": "string"
},
"lastEptDate": {
"type": "string"
},
"tag": {
"const": "high-congestion-season",
"type": "string"
}
},
"type": "object"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"type": "object"
}
}
},
"lastUpdated": "2026-10-26T05:48:19.674Z",
"quality": {
"l30DaysTotalCalls": 3,
"l30DaysUniquePayers": 1,
"lastCalledAt": "2026-10-26T05:48:19.495Z"
},
"resource": "https://pjm-nowcast-production.up.railway.app/v1/spread/probability-card",
"serviceName": "pjm-nowcast",
"tags": [
"pjm",
"spread",
"on-peak",
"residual",
"jump"
],
"type": "http",
"x402Version": 2
},
"source": "x402_bazaar",
"summary": "PJM zonal spread jump probability. empirical probability card for the evening congestion bar. whenToUse: next on-peak day or trailing congestion-season check. whenNotToUse: month-ahead, season-ahead, Black vol, a price forecast."
}What the leaf hashes
{"body":"29ea98753a367d4f47f0a3ae4392bc3c219d3b3fbfc6b37164b434c9cd6cc3d3","id":56123,"kind":"listing","method":"sync.x402_bazaar/1","observed_us":1793025437368314,"prev":null,"subject":"x402_bazaar:https://pjm-nowcast-production.up.railway.app/v1/spread/probability-card","subject_kind":"source_record"}Proof
Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of (296695 rows).
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- 0x67d81f51788e4acdc8f36ca9346a133b005814670585625cf73534b4509e188a
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- Day root
- 0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8
- Chained
- 0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a
- Published
- On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae