← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 407486
Observed , by sync.x402_bazaar/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/federal/trend
- Recorded
- Previous row
- #68084
- Body SHA-256
- 69303f63ec7cbb550014890c1e28ba72e071f96bcff6f67827ee7691f179d0ac
- Leaf
- 0xa3727671f5317e5058b699ea4db5be7a2b50bdbf63db348466f17b4ef74697e4
What was observed
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"median": 28.1,
"name": "AfD",
"party": "AfD",
"poll_average": 28.1
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{
"ci95": [
11.5,
31.6
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"entry_probability": 100,
"median": 19.6,
"name": "Union (CDU/CSU)",
"party": "CDU/CSU",
"poll_average": 19.6
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"simulations": 10000,
"version": "4.16"
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"notice": "Scenario analysis based on published opinion polls. Not a prediction and not a voting recommendation. Coalition figures count simulated seat majorities (see ...",
"project": "Ein Projekt von Karbach.Digital (https://karbach.digital)",
"source": {
"polls": "dawum.de",
"polls_license": "ODbL 1.0",
"polls_license_url": "https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/",
"processing": "polls.karbach.digital (Max Karbach)"
},
"uncertainty": "ci95: range that contains the result with 95 percent probability in the simulation. Out of sample in 2026 the band held 17 of 21 values (81 percent).",
"updated_at": "2026-10-24 06:00:13"
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"lastUpdated": "2026-10-27T04:32:30.456Z",
"quality": {
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"l30DaysUniquePayers": 2,
"lastCalledAt": "2026-10-19T13:42:03.906Z"
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"summary": "Federal polling average today per party with 95 percent band (Bundestag). Use when asked how German parties currently stand nationally. Source-attributed. Refused (503, not charged) if data is older than 26 hours."
}What the leaf hashes
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Its day has not closed yet. A day closes ten minutes after midnight UTC; the proof appears here then.