← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 126244
Observed , by baseline/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://x402.ochinimus.app/api/cascade-forecast
- Recorded
- Previous row
- None: the first of its kind about this subject
- Body SHA-256
- 374a1cae2440602105cfda31607a757d3eb99aef9c063711367228a9d05b5a96
- Leaf
- 0x6886c03af0a2b99eba176094b402bfd63e4377979c2577bfbe0db81ed4ddef49
What was observed
{
"endpoints": [
[
"x402",
"https://x402.ochinimus.app/api/cascade-forecast"
]
],
"name": "AgentFeed",
"owner_address": "0x22db3a9686ee5261e7bf3ed4f91277232e8076e6",
"raw": {
"accepts": [
{
"amount": "20000",
"asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
"extra": {
"feePayer": "Hc3sdEAsCGQcpgfivywog9uwtk8gUBUZgsxdME1EJy88",
"name": "USDC"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
"payTo": "4a8o45skRPcyjAdyR8yES215Swvh8uTpZD6KLarhxCJ7",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "20000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x22DB3A9686EE5261e7Bf3ed4f91277232E8076e6",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "20000",
"asset": "0x3c499c542cEF5E3811e1192ce70d8cC03d5c3359",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:137",
"payTo": "0x22DB3A9686EE5261e7Bf3ed4f91277232E8076e6",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "20000",
"asset": "0xaf88d065e77c8cC2239327C5EDb3A432268e5831",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:42161",
"payTo": "0x22DB3A9686EE5261e7Bf3ed4f91277232E8076e6",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "20000",
"asset": "0x3600000000000000000000000000000000000000",
"extra": {
"name": "USDC",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:5042",
"payTo": "0x0Cf44185564F2b72E291050DC79E578429E52f83",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "20000",
"asset": "31566704",
"extra": {
"feePayer": "ZMFK2OI7ZBD2U27ISERZC4S6LKM6WMFJPZQ4MYNJDZ2VNBNMBA67RA22AA"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "algorand:wGHE2Pwdvd7S12BL5FaOP20EGYesN73ktiC1qzkkit8=",
"payTo": "QWOWU2E6BB76HEQRRMXWZ2MU4HAQIYZWEPP2W7Y377ZRDIW7ZKD4MMMEPM",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "10000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"minDeposit": "100000",
"name": "USD Coin",
"receiverAuthorizer": "0xBa3056eC310658e42dFb8a0Fa349C5406212bE37",
"version": "2",
"withdrawDelay": 86400
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x22DB3A9686EE5261e7Bf3ed4f91277232E8076e6",
"scheme": "batch-settlement"
},
{
"amount": "10000",
"asset": "0x3c499c542cEF5E3811e1192ce70d8cC03d5c3359",
"extra": {
"minDeposit": "100000",
"name": "USD Coin",
"receiverAuthorizer": "0xBa3056eC310658e42dFb8a0Fa349C5406212bE37",
"version": "2",
"withdrawDelay": 86400
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:137",
"payTo": "0x22DB3A9686EE5261e7Bf3ed4f91277232E8076e6",
"scheme": "batch-settlement"
},
{
"amount": "10000",
"asset": "0xaf88d065e77c8cC2239327C5EDb3A432268e5831",
"extra": {
"minDeposit": "100000",
"name": "USD Coin",
"receiverAuthorizer": "0xBa3056eC310658e42dFb8a0Fa349C5406212bE37",
"version": "2",
"withdrawDelay": 86400
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:42161",
"payTo": "0x22DB3A9686EE5261e7Bf3ed4f91277232E8076e6",
"scheme": "batch-settlement"
},
{
"amount": "10000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "GatewayWalletBatched",
"verifyingContract": "0x77777777Dcc4d5A8B6E418Fd04D8997ef11000eE",
"version": "1"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 604900,
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0xA853129ACF56A851f9d51CD8cb47619465260Fa9",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "10000",
"asset": "0x3c499c542cEF5E3811e1192ce70d8cC03d5c3359",
"extra": {
"name": "GatewayWalletBatched",
"verifyingContract": "0x77777777Dcc4d5A8B6E418Fd04D8997ef11000eE",
"version": "1"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 604900,
"network": "eip155:137",
"payTo": "0xA853129ACF56A851f9d51CD8cb47619465260Fa9",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "10000",
"asset": "0xaf88d065e77c8cC2239327C5EDb3A432268e5831",
"extra": {
"name": "GatewayWalletBatched",
"verifyingContract": "0x77777777Dcc4d5A8B6E418Fd04D8997ef11000eE",
"version": "1"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 604900,
"network": "eip155:42161",
"payTo": "0xA853129ACF56A851f9d51CD8cb47619465260Fa9",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "10000",
"asset": "0x3600000000000000000000000000000000000000",
"extra": {
"name": "GatewayWalletBatched",
"verifyingContract": "0x77777777Dcc4d5A8B6E418Fd04D8997ef11000eE",
"version": "1"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 604900,
"network": "eip155:5042",
"payTo": "0xA853129ACF56A851f9d51CD8cb47619465260Fa9",
"scheme": "exact"
}
],
"description": "Liquidation forecast, FORWARD-LOOKING and not a description of what already happened. Use when you need to answer: How likely is a liquidation spike in the next 15 minutes? Returns the probability that a symbol will liquidate more in the NEXT 15 minutes than its own 90th-percentile 15-minute window. Calibrated on a 28-day tape of 1.4M Bybit liquidations across 799 symbols, which cannot be…",
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"symbol": "SOL"
},
"type": "http"
},
"output": {
"example": {
"data": {
"answers": [
{
"asOf": "2026-10-12T21:53:21.847Z",
"basis": "111 occurrences of this state for this symbol…",
"evidence": "measured",
"observed": {
"buyUsd": 739103.0099400003,
"events": 63,
"sellUsd": 1215.8781,
"usd": 740318.8880400002
},
"p": 0.28560971025636944,
"question": {
"answer": "a probability between 0 and 1, or a decline",
"ask": "Will this symbol's liquidation volume in the…",
"declines": "a decline is returned when the current state…",
"id": "liquidation-window-exceedance-v1",
"settleable_by": "anyone subscribed to the same public liquidat…",
"settlement": "sum liquidation USD for the symbol over the n…",
"thresholdRule": "the 90th percentile of the symbol's own 15-mi…",
"windowSeconds": 900
},
"reason": null,
"state": "5|3|3|0",
"support": 6176,
"symbol": "SOLUSDT",
"symbolSupport": 111,
"thresholdSource": "the threshold this model was trained against",
"thresholdUsd": 170402.42276999992,
"windowEnd": "2026-10-12T21:45:00.000Z",
"windowStart": "2026-10-12T21:30:00.000Z"
}
],
"model": {
"fittedAt": "2026-10-12T18:01:04.076Z",
"scheme": "fine",
"symbolsCovered": 425,
"trainedOnPairs": 3600815
}
},
"paid": true,
"tool": "get_cascade_forecast"
},
"type": "json"
}
},
"schema": {
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"input": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"properties": {
"symbol": {
"description": "SOL, BTC, ETH or any USDT perp e.g. SXTUSDT (default SOL)",
"type": "string"
},
"symbols": {
"description": "comma separated for a batch, max 20, e.g. SOL,BTC,ETH",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [],
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"properties": {
"data": {
"properties": {
"answers": {
"type": "array"
},
"model": {
"type": "object"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"paid": {
"type": "boolean"
},
"tool": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"type": "object"
}
}
},
"iconUrl": "https://res.cloudinary.com/bdb-prod/image/upload/c_fill,ar_1:1,w_256,h_256,f_auto,q_auto/v1790342068/bazaar-icons/e1b26d9582fdb91c.png",
"lastUpdated": "2026-10-13T16:36:35.178Z",
"quality": {
"l30DaysTotalCalls": 2,
"l30DaysUniquePayers": 2,
"lastCalledAt": "2026-10-13T16:36:34.656Z"
},
"resource": "https://x402.ochinimus.app/api/cascade-forecast",
"serviceName": "AgentFeed",
"tags": [
"forecast",
"liquidations",
"cascade",
"prediction",
"exclusive"
],
"type": "http",
"x402Version": 2
},
"source": "x402_bazaar",
"summary": "Liquidation forecast, FORWARD-LOOKING and not a description of what already happened. Use when you need to answer: How likely is a liquidation spike in the next 15 minutes? Returns the probability that a symbol will liquidate more in the NEXT 15 minutes than its own 90th-percentile 15-minute window. Calibrated on a 28-day tape of 1.4M Bybit liquidations across 799 symbols, which cannot be…"
}What the leaf hashes
{"body":"374a1cae2440602105cfda31607a757d3eb99aef9c063711367228a9d05b5a96","id":126244,"kind":"listing","method":"baseline/1","observed_us":1793025627426295,"prev":null,"subject":"x402_bazaar:https://x402.ochinimus.app/api/cascade-forecast","subject_kind":"source_record"}Proof
Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of (296695 rows).
- 0x6886c7d7df844ea78ac0a7e8f6d8b03e4ba3a31b6286565678c850c66b8dc585
- 0x3ff9f5fd66b926fa4ba4b4f4056792f67dc79dda37fba71fb10196b0d7812b6f
- 0xa5c9d936aa8f864455e290625af309e6d43a972892cab3aebc1ad58001e5f801
- 0xe3a646a625e6f881b35f6ea1c1bcc2494f469af3c5003b09ecc1bd1dfc0303ce
- 0xa8bde1394e103eec098937eb44b33a5cdff7ad01341b8305dd5544bf96aa629b
- 0x372bc688b72ec790531d6da129d1782e9b109c650c4c9566bed8e4c4f1baebb3
- 0xad9bae4d03b24a224ea07fdc05eea8a09fb930ab937b384957cae21e73e0e7d5
- 0xba415359e34742723f0415ed27c595b288e90f6cf7047ceae63025ee58046885
- 0x93e9853b7e7c3fbd2e76b2acee2d32edfe8d3f0c87ff002072ea66bdd6c35b44
- 0x13e4c71dea6ead16b673621a000980228fb6632849515de881753d7ecc85106a
- 0x413b0c9464d3b38d47c32aba246ca98fb26aca16664bc872d8c725efdcf42145
- 0x9483a0a7a066ffc2fb890c8f34dbc91bf373e546e4a3800b76064288b3cc4875
- 0x5f350d70c252ff1169c0210fd45fce1b0ab8d7316f048741a9e90a6c8cb65dcf
- 0x9a79c65e077cd9da9d436b3ade6f5ddc0d244510c4d5903ef2f02d81205f7666
- 0xa2d436d488e3600b0e5c3e3ed9c9234cd52853c59830b786334fd0c4292d9f40
- 0x47b89901b0f07938a6b9a66ddf35683903f79d756a7c7763665fd632758b08d0
- 0x9a83be955a206deb65b995adfd92c58fa31c95fbbf926bd199d300e70b08b26d
- 0x20704208aa6923d6b2450ef74ede87a6e0265d46447926038fe9506e9e154b2d
- 0x9b9ce5b74b9bab5121612ef6b64920a8d453cbf311096a423eef9702747e868a
- Day root
- 0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8
- Chained
- 0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a
- Published
- On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae