← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 123981
Observed , by baseline/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://weather.lonestaroracle.xyz/forecast
- Recorded
- Previous row
- None: the first of its kind about this subject
- Body SHA-256
- 1019d0539abf0f97ef9a6573f9a3935277f9ec505228028fd1982529af766505
- Leaf
- 0x4a95a122328cf598105d6744a15889b8eb93f061ea43546a24cc485697d9736c
What was observed
{
"endpoints": [
[
"x402",
"https://weather.lonestaroracle.xyz/forecast"
]
],
"name": "WeatherOracle",
"owner_address": "0x52ab53912d37759b2ad364f22dd06b16714b6c06",
"raw": {
"accepts": [
{
"amount": "20000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x52Ab53912D37759B2ad364f22dD06B16714b6C06",
"scheme": "exact"
},
{
"amount": "20000",
"asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
"extra": {
"feePayer": "Hc3sdEAsCGQcpgfivywog9uwtk8gUBUZgsxdME1EJy88"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
"payTo": "3nmeVj5m9Uq2hSTfsVsn3tJMHRJQNMKR1AjzyUJbrSgw",
"scheme": "exact"
}
],
"description": "GFS+ECMWF ensemble temperature probability for NWS weather prediction markets",
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"city": "example",
"date": "example",
"direction": "greater",
"threshold": 1
},
"type": "http"
},
"output": {
"example": {
"city": "Chicago",
"confidence": "medium",
"data_source": "7-model consensus via Open-Meteo: GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, HRRR, NAM, NBM (all free)",
"days_out": 5,
"direction": "greater",
"ensemble_members": 31,
"mean_high_f": 71.4,
"prob_exceeds": 0.312,
"rain_probability": 0.18,
"std_high_f": 3.2,
"summary": "Chicago on 2026-04-26: P(high > 73°F) = 31.2% | Mean 71.4°F ± 3.2°F | Confidence: medium",
"target_date": "2026-04-26",
"threshold_f": 73
},
"format": "json",
"type": "object"
}
},
"schema": {
"category": "weather",
"description": "7-model consensus + 80 ensemble members (GEFS 30 + ECMWF 50). Returns blended prob_exceeds (empirical + Gumbel), trade signal (YES/NO/PASS), ensemble_empirical_prob, method_divergence (forces PASS if >0.15), and outlier model. Coordinates aligned to NWS ASOS settlement stations used by Kalshi and Polymarket.",
"name": "LoneStarOracle — WeatherOracle",
"properties": {
"input": {
"properties": {
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET",
"HEAD",
"DELETE"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"properties": {
"city": {
"title": "City",
"type": "string"
},
"date": {
"title": "Date",
"type": "string"
},
"direction": {
"default": "greater",
"title": "Direction",
"type": "string"
},
"threshold": {
"title": "Threshold",
"type": "number"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"city": "Chicago",
"confidence": "medium",
"data_source": "7-model consensus via Open-Meteo: GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, HRRR, NAM, NBM (all free)",
"days_out": 5,
"direction": "greater",
"ensemble_members": 31,
"mean_high_f": 71.4,
"prob_exceeds": 0.312,
"rain_probability": 0.18,
"std_high_f": 3.2,
"summary": "Chicago on 2026-04-26: P(high > 73°F) = 31.2% | Mean 71.4°F ± 3.2°F | Confidence: medium",
"target_date": "2026-04-26",
"threshold_f": 73
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"tags": [
"weather",
"forecast",
"prediction-market",
"kalshi",
"probability",
"gfs"
],
"type": "object",
"version": "1.0.0"
}
}
},
"lastUpdated": "2026-10-01T11:02:13.278Z",
"quality": {
"l30DaysTotalCalls": 1,
"l30DaysUniquePayers": 1,
"lastCalledAt": "2026-10-01T11:02:13.147Z"
},
"resource": "https://weather.lonestaroracle.xyz/forecast",
"serviceName": "WeatherOracle",
"tags": [
"weather",
"forecast",
"prediction-market",
"kalshi",
"probability"
],
"type": "http",
"x402Version": 2
},
"source": "x402_bazaar",
"summary": "GFS+ECMWF ensemble temperature probability for NWS weather prediction markets"
}What the leaf hashes
{"body":"1019d0539abf0f97ef9a6573f9a3935277f9ec505228028fd1982529af766505","id":123981,"kind":"listing","method":"baseline/1","observed_us":1793025623964276,"prev":null,"subject":"x402_bazaar:https://weather.lonestaroracle.xyz/forecast","subject_kind":"source_record"}Proof
Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of (296695 rows).
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- 0xaa7f2cb08baed47eb40bfdd87c793c0c5b074692786b066fa8c565215c17d7b8
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- 0x92c48bc33659b816b2ce4cd5a5a1f839158a39c00cc9bc90593161e80a7eac5d
- 0x0bf55ba148b001f3a8b4dee092c3dba1845127afa58e66e306ea033f9915fa5e
- 0x5e491f8e9ab064b8c5b0e640986f041dd0a814adcc1bb69ddf60cb26ecb2d75d
- 0x2edd5d51e41bb41b09678bea8f406e73a25b0e1345c1e9e2bfc39a4abff04d19
- 0x3524309e6831e713c362548f4a446e06df06f23708410213dd9d60ebcd20a204
- 0xb9c44c195c511a74ed82b24db714e43b1a5a80029db27888948baa71082b81f9
- 0x401a323dfcffdb4ec1a75537dabf1f5c7403e6d01d2965f0f6eba13263cf7c64
- 0x67ae8949b58cb7b0dd4cfa0f9aeeee715e0ae6b87fef0ba46483bbf280004c53
- 0x1ffd24a0422348bb2305058cc138e276511e1c074bf8139af5b773941f0e5de2
- 0x88e326a39b26e2c125306c9d3805d14398ace088bba9a2a0aa376b811cfb201a
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- Day root
- 0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8
- Chained
- 0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a
- Published
- On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae