← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 118695
Observed , by baseline/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://predict.memoryapi.org/x402/predict/mispricing
- Recorded
- Previous row
- None: the first of its kind about this subject
- Body SHA-256
- d74960a2ec039d32e0d3381346d31dc243c8434a1c5a6c0fea720697f0c59a57
- Leaf
- 0xd461f2e81883b55735694db833d8800ac8a5cd84cc575b7033c6f112fe2c9469
What was observed
{
"endpoints": [
[
"x402",
"https://predict.memoryapi.org/x402/predict/mispricing"
]
],
"name": "predict.memoryapi.org/x402/predict/mispricing",
"owner_address": "0x24facafeb49b4e3facf0b3e69604a2f4640c9bf2",
"raw": {
"accepts": [
{
"amount": "10000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300,
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x24FAcafEB49b4e3FACF0B3e69604A2F4640c9bf2",
"scheme": "exact"
}
],
"description": "Detect prediction market outcome mispricings — find markets where real-world outcome is already determined but market price is wrong",
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"description": "Find weather prediction markets where outcome is known but market is mispriced. Compares real temperature vs market expectations.",
"iconUrl": "https://memoryapi.org/icon.png",
"input": {
"method": "GET",
"schema": {
"properties": {},
"required": []
},
"type": "http"
},
"output": {
"example": {
"markets_checked": 5,
"opportunities": [
{
"edge_pct": 82,
"expected_prob": 0.97,
"market_prob": 0.15,
"outcome": "YES",
"platform": "Polymarket",
"price_diff": 0.82,
"question": "Will Shanghai highest temp exceed 30°C on June 1?",
"type": "weather_outcome"
}
],
"opportunities_found": 1,
"success": true
}
},
"serviceName": "MemoryAPI Predict",
"tags": [
"prediction",
"markets",
"trading"
]
},
"schema": {
"properties": {
"input": {
"properties": {
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"method"
]
}
}
}
}
},
"lastUpdated": "2026-10-19T10:25:40.378Z",
"quality": {
"l30DaysTotalCalls": 2,
"l30DaysUniquePayers": 2,
"lastCalledAt": "2026-10-19T10:25:40.188Z"
},
"resource": "https://predict.memoryapi.org/x402/predict/mispricing",
"type": "http",
"x402Version": 2
},
"source": "x402_bazaar",
"summary": "Detect prediction market outcome mispricings — find markets where real-world outcome is already determined but market price is wrong"
}What the leaf hashes
{"body":"d74960a2ec039d32e0d3381346d31dc243c8434a1c5a6c0fea720697f0c59a57","id":118695,"kind":"listing","method":"baseline/1","observed_us":1793025613606964,"prev":null,"subject":"x402_bazaar:https://predict.memoryapi.org/x402/predict/mispricing","subject_kind":"source_record"}Proof
Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of (296695 rows).
- 0xd4616423d0e27d5dfe3f3450d7a3a5d6e760300139e6f9325efba6617eacada4
- 0x0a81651b3f97e4586ac852a45c70a4cce4c275cd41bd56f479c04dcd79b7a358
- 0x4d8ef623d365bd5005d734ca63f5bda625bec4211f718b77afa351de57fdf785
- 0x59f1b033a18b5f21305bee366b76710946ee230db5cd547f6073712ec1ea6ad0
- 0xdb4c46e35e6f6d7ccb4d75a423ee92a2944a420db9482e296cb042960e31219d
- 0x90819d038a9b7299381b9b02d3658cc7f2f02904a0bd7cf8f74354b9ca2e5855
- 0xfee339372d351ecbcc1c18d57d3933c78c9a355a0862269d095880674002c074
- 0xed1adb0ff81927e4e7735468d21104c525c417f5a491de9ac86474c09087c303
- 0x7f07b9b890afd5ad8ae0ab9d5ede15b051d3990e59a076f5ffdfbf216d9a7016
- 0xbf2ea8422e4d4634187236ad26741d988ab947590ee32bccf49379c5b69d0711
- 0x13af2618b202e3256bff92107d30a646eb897d2992ea1f3e08e75bf4bef84c31
- 0x7026808261896a203198354548e5e8cabce4a06e89d077c172084841b47ae119
- 0x3199db04c2c73c3483386a86bf503eafde5af103465608156e2e5f42e72a6fbe
- 0x6b927d53caa5125cdba9255612d524976c691f8672796c3f0885ba2c5b3af1ad
- 0x6dc40f983a3840a0ad927a9ca17f4ff1e3b649a6c735e2a09b140db7c2caf13b
- 0x703f95866af09c5e5d6ead7411e9a10f964a41a2aff64d4a55ff0053c023a023
- 0xd0651cb9bc8155eb52b5247d506e74b8a935057dc190ba52091702ac25ed3a40
- 0x9a9024edb5069d88a324facb310a5ce8e495214bbaa968f077bede437390194f
- 0x9b9ce5b74b9bab5121612ef6b64920a8d453cbf311096a423eef9702747e868a
- Day root
- 0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8
- Chained
- 0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a
- Published
- On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae