← The evidence ledger
Evidence row 117831
Observed , by baseline/1.
- Kind
- listing
- About
- source_record x402_bazaar:https://paid-api.cryptoanalysis.workers.dev/v1/call/yesterday
- Recorded
- Previous row
- None: the first of its kind about this subject
- Body SHA-256
- 674f0caa7bbce798a7294e4c27a4f8c8f0288af6f1164e7c4efc3bffba0e9f04
- Leaf
- 0xc0b510c95982ab2f3d7e9d894b6cecfd015f949586990f86c8930c631690ae55
What was observed
{
"endpoints": [
[
"x402",
"https://paid-api.cryptoanalysis.workers.dev/v1/call/yesterday"
]
],
"name": "cryptoanalysis-yesterday-call",
"owner_address": "0xb8e9f9440362e6bba4a3c9d66ba2875c0d47708c",
"raw": {
"accepts": [
{
"amount": "250000",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 30,
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0xb8E9f9440362e6bBa4a3C9d66Ba2875C0D47708c",
"scheme": "exact"
}
],
"description": "cryptoanalysis.info daily Bitcoin advisory call for the previous UTC day, with confidence and bounded completed-session history.",
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"query": {
"history": 30
}
},
"type": "http"
},
"output": {
"example": {
"calculated_at": "2026-01-03",
"call": {
"cadence": "daily",
"confidence": 0.55,
"confidence_meaning": "Claude's own stated sign-probability for the published direction at the time of the call. It is not a calibrated probability unless the calibration block below says so.",
"date": "2026-01-03",
"decision_for_date": "2026-01-03",
"direction": "long",
"first_captured_at": null,
"first_captured_confidence": null,
"first_captured_position": null,
"horizon": "next UTC session",
"key_drivers": [
{
"contribution": 0.2,
"direction": "bullish",
"domain": "trend"
}
],
"position": 0.35
},
"confidence_quality": {
"brier": 0.25,
"hit_rate": 0.56,
"hit_rate_wilson95": [
0.46,
0.65
],
"hits": 56,
"n_decisions": 100,
"through_date": "2026-01-02",
"window_days": 365
},
"content_id": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
"first_publication_id": "pub-2026-01-03-r1-000000000000",
"freshness": {
"deadline": "2026-01-04T23:59:00.000Z",
"status": "current"
},
"instrument": "XBTUSD",
"product_id": "yesterday_call",
"publication_id": "pub-2026-01-03-r1-000000000000",
"published_at": "2026-01-03T00:10:00.000Z",
"result_class": "hypothetical_advisory_overlay",
"revision": 1,
"schema_version": "cryptoanalysis.daily-position.v1",
"signal_id": "sig-2026-01-03",
"source_decision_as_of": "2026-01-03",
"source_identity": "cryptoanalysis.info public advisory",
"supersedes_publication_id": null,
"track_record": {
"history": [
{
"advisory_pnl_pct": 0.2,
"btc_close": 101,
"btc_start": 100,
"confidence": 0.5,
"cumulative_advisory_pnl_pct": 0.2,
"cumulative_benchmark_pnl_pct": 1,
"date": "2026-01-02",
"first_captured_confidence": null,
"first_captured_position": null,
"first_captured_status": "unavailable",
"position": 0.3,
"session_return_pct": 1
}
],
"history_methodology": {
"aggregation": "additive",
"benchmark": "gross_full_long_btc_buy_and_hold",
"cost_bps_per_unit_turnover": 10,
"flat_position_handling": "included_as_zero_return_contribution",
"missing_session_handling": "omitted_and_counted_in_skipped_anomalous_sessions",
"result_class": "hypothetical_advisory_overlay",
"session_boundary": "UTC_close_to_close",
"units": "percent"
},
"summary": {
"cumulative_advisory_pnl_pct": 0.2,
"cumulative_benchmark_pnl_pct": 1,
"lifetime_skipped_anomalous_sessions": 0,
"mean_advisory_pnl_pct": 0.2,
"mean_benchmark_pnl_pct": 1,
"n_sessions": 1,
"skipped_anomalous_dates": [],
"skipped_anomalous_dates_truncated": false,
"skipped_anomalous_sessions": 0
}
}
},
"type": "json"
}
},
"schema": {
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"input": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"properties": {
"history": {
"maximum": 90,
"minimum": 0,
"type": "integer"
}
},
"required": [],
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"type": "object"
}
}
},
"lastUpdated": "2026-09-29T19:08:16.447Z",
"quality": {
"l30DaysTotalCalls": 1,
"l30DaysUniquePayers": 1,
"lastCalledAt": "2026-09-29T19:08:15.787Z"
},
"resource": "https://paid-api.cryptoanalysis.workers.dev/v1/call/yesterday",
"serviceName": "cryptoanalysis-yesterday-call",
"tags": [
"bitcoin",
"advisory",
"daily-position"
],
"type": "http",
"x402Version": 2
},
"source": "x402_bazaar",
"summary": "cryptoanalysis.info daily Bitcoin advisory call for the previous UTC day, with confidence and bounded completed-session history."
}What the leaf hashes
{"body":"674f0caa7bbce798a7294e4c27a4f8c8f0288af6f1164e7c4efc3bffba0e9f04","id":117831,"kind":"listing","method":"baseline/1","observed_us":1793025611938215,"prev":null,"subject":"x402_bazaar:https://paid-api.cryptoanalysis.workers.dev/v1/call/yesterday","subject_kind":"source_record"}Proof
Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of (296695 rows).
- 0xc0b518f9e950f61dcc47b38c50bb8442247f7c518db7b3c96aebaa09b4810064
- 0xd8a1e5caa9656c44a8b495da071624a028c69a2e27873f9e949ab35998d9ce85
- 0x397ca6d5a3d209a5a57a272da940d9fc1f8db820087bac1c1f6ab7b0ddca825d
- 0xf0ef8f09e759f85c1a674cf99b72e38e710f5f34f882fa7610ad950ef75ab99b
- 0x1d583308f65f54844f4b0128842253ecf74904b395d04a3fa6ce9d6f917bb449
- 0x12b0d1040963a42461a98acc3cf3a302e08c76429192ec3160d30dbb92461a0a
- 0x05deac8dfa7e4a98c9672b17870072d4ad0dba8fd98b1d95b69cf91d91bc1f6e
- 0x486160b5dcced83a918d93fbe64c5382e5fa923b5303f3cfffc0a4afdd74c6ed
- 0xa2b16713954fa02c854355b17a43d713989e456f24a5ebd65daa0daf0fdc9712
- 0x7b149f9f7c296adb8af6cd00f57acc46b0fa098e83f5b758ee8289cf64e766c0
- 0xf4fdcce8aa5f97c7e98aeab4ad558743dfee0aa6d4d12415896a148aee663b17
- 0x111576180a2fecebcaf560e6b72ed8cefedaacb8c607539ece417b7465831f66
- 0x96eae331a78c1c9248bc58130ff83d31b884760a51fe7191de2a39105ae7c072
- 0xdbe2e8dd65ea1248b2936612538f18268abd5cf27ebdab3737694571ad496004
- 0x9f68b5e15459cb62b8c0cd4c124fa61c74147b4a5755a200fbecd21a581635d1
- 0x123ec8bee20ddc55223eeef5a4f4d6c4b6416515adbb911c56759f5cde56e452
- 0xd0651cb9bc8155eb52b5247d506e74b8a935057dc190ba52091702ac25ed3a40
- 0x9a9024edb5069d88a324facb310a5ce8e495214bbaa968f077bede437390194f
- 0x9b9ce5b74b9bab5121612ef6b64920a8d453cbf311096a423eef9702747e868a
- Day root
- 0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8
- Chained
- 0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a
- Published
- On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae