Evidence row 117830

What was observed

{
  "endpoints": [
    [
      "x402",
      "https://paid-api.cryptoanalysis.workers.dev/v1/call/today"
    ]
  ],
  "name": "cryptoanalysis-today-call",
  "owner_address": "0xb8e9f9440362e6bba4a3c9d66ba2875c0d47708c",
  "raw": {
    "accepts": [
      {
        "amount": "500000",
        "asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
        "extra": {
          "name": "USD Coin",
          "version": "2"
        },
        "maxTimeoutSeconds": 30,
        "network": "eip155:8453",
        "payTo": "0xb8E9f9440362e6bBa4a3C9d66Ba2875C0D47708c",
        "scheme": "exact"
      }
    ],
    "description": "cryptoanalysis.info daily Bitcoin advisory call for the current UTC day, with confidence and bounded completed-session history.",
    "extensions": {
      "bazaar": {
        "info": {
          "input": {
            "method": "GET",
            "queryParams": {
              "query": {
                "history": 30
              }
            },
            "type": "http"
          },
          "output": {
            "example": {
              "calculated_at": "2026-01-03",
              "call": {
                "cadence": "daily",
                "confidence": 0.55,
                "confidence_meaning": "Claude's own stated sign-probability for the published direction at the time of the call. It is not a calibrated probability unless the calibration block below says so.",
                "date": "2026-01-03",
                "decision_for_date": "2026-01-04",
                "direction": "long",
                "first_captured_at": null,
                "first_captured_confidence": null,
                "first_captured_position": null,
                "horizon": "next UTC session",
                "key_drivers": [
                  {
                    "contribution": 0.2,
                    "direction": "bullish",
                    "domain": "trend"
                  }
                ],
                "position": 0.35
              },
              "confidence_quality": {
                "brier": 0.25,
                "hit_rate": 0.56,
                "hit_rate_wilson95": [
                  0.46,
                  0.65
                ],
                "hits": 56,
                "n_decisions": 100,
                "through_date": "2026-01-02",
                "window_days": 365
              },
              "content_id": "0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000",
              "first_publication_id": "pub-2026-01-04-r1-000000000000",
              "freshness": {
                "deadline": "2026-01-04T23:59:00.000Z",
                "status": "current"
              },
              "instrument": "XBTUSD",
              "product_id": "today_call",
              "publication_id": "pub-2026-01-04-r1-000000000000",
              "published_at": "2026-01-03T00:10:00.000Z",
              "result_class": "hypothetical_advisory_overlay",
              "revision": 1,
              "schema_version": "cryptoanalysis.daily-position.v1",
              "signal_id": "sig-2026-01-04",
              "source_decision_as_of": "2026-01-03",
              "source_identity": "cryptoanalysis.info public advisory",
              "supersedes_publication_id": null,
              "track_record": {
                "history": [
                  {
                    "advisory_pnl_pct": 0.2,
                    "btc_close": 101,
                    "btc_start": 100,
                    "confidence": 0.5,
                    "cumulative_advisory_pnl_pct": 0.2,
                    "cumulative_benchmark_pnl_pct": 1,
                    "date": "2026-01-02",
                    "first_captured_confidence": null,
                    "first_captured_position": null,
                    "first_captured_status": "unavailable",
                    "position": 0.3,
                    "session_return_pct": 1
                  }
                ],
                "history_methodology": {
                  "aggregation": "additive",
                  "benchmark": "gross_full_long_btc_buy_and_hold",
                  "cost_bps_per_unit_turnover": 10,
                  "flat_position_handling": "included_as_zero_return_contribution",
                  "missing_session_handling": "omitted_and_counted_in_skipped_anomalous_sessions",
                  "result_class": "hypothetical_advisory_overlay",
                  "session_boundary": "UTC_close_to_close",
                  "units": "percent"
                },
                "summary": {
                  "cumulative_advisory_pnl_pct": 0.2,
                  "cumulative_benchmark_pnl_pct": 1,
                  "lifetime_skipped_anomalous_sessions": 0,
                  "mean_advisory_pnl_pct": 0.2,
                  "mean_benchmark_pnl_pct": 1,
                  "n_sessions": 1,
                  "skipped_anomalous_dates": [],
                  "skipped_anomalous_dates_truncated": false,
                  "skipped_anomalous_sessions": 0
                }
              }
            },
            "type": "json"
          }
        },
        "schema": {
          "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
          "properties": {
            "input": {
              "additionalProperties": false,
              "properties": {
                "method": {
                  "enum": [
                    "GET"
                  ],
                  "type": "string"
                },
                "queryParams": {
                  "properties": {
                    "history": {
                      "maximum": 90,
                      "minimum": 0,
                      "type": "integer"
                    }
                  },
                  "required": [],
                  "type": "object"
                },
                "type": {
                  "const": "http",
                  "type": "string"
                }
              },
              "required": [
                "type",
                "method"
              ],
              "type": "object"
            },
            "output": {
              "properties": {
                "example": {
                  "type": "object"
                },
                "type": {
                  "type": "string"
                }
              },
              "required": [
                "type"
              ],
              "type": "object"
            }
          },
          "required": [
            "input"
          ],
          "type": "object"
        }
      }
    },
    "lastUpdated": "2026-09-29T19:08:28.955Z",
    "quality": {
      "l30DaysTotalCalls": 1,
      "l30DaysUniquePayers": 1,
      "lastCalledAt": "2026-09-29T19:08:28.194Z"
    },
    "resource": "https://paid-api.cryptoanalysis.workers.dev/v1/call/today",
    "serviceName": "cryptoanalysis-today-call",
    "tags": [
      "bitcoin",
      "advisory",
      "daily-position"
    ],
    "type": "http",
    "x402Version": 2
  },
  "source": "x402_bazaar",
  "summary": "cryptoanalysis.info daily Bitcoin advisory call for the current UTC day, with confidence and bounded completed-session history."
}

What the leaf hashes

{"body":"98ecccc9338faa83c700e2463b18e811f3934cde7802979293e47f968765d289","id":117830,"kind":"listing","method":"baseline/1","observed_us":1793025611937099,"prev":null,"subject":"x402_bazaar:https://paid-api.cryptoanalysis.workers.dev/v1/call/today","subject_kind":"source_record"}

Proof

Fold these into the leaf in order, hashing each sorted pair with keccak256, to reach the root of 2026-10-26 (296695 rows).

1. 0x9a57bf7e9c6543fd8517a884deeda8c53f8449cd7217dd5f8f51c835a75dd92d
2. 0x748ae0e0be70725c9676b68f3b6aa45761d01b032269b7c9cf8ab0011747fc4e
3. 0xd6a5b8eebc29fddeacf25b7d468317be1571bc0b538b62251545a2187ae54e02
4. 0xc14da85dd89f110c5e7774223995141e632261df0e834f4c88c2a7f398d896b2
5. 0x8766a9ec718ba2f2aa6a76ba99d9dc163aa0715655271c93b9899ee5c89307e4
6. 0xd6efcbb9c6a30779a3d1ec10707477252666c6c2c4ee91cf0797c17308586b44
7. 0x57153fab463433ca9200d4d6b5ff74f66e6b683ab1335de3060a2e65fa5f74e7
8. 0x353f10362f81d903c23b2a72df611f2bfebb9b32d387c7400b542fe5fd522665
9. 0x5857ceac0af3d3165e2a4c7d5532ef6019b83aa5ea6b78ce7c6e85a61717200e
10. 0x1aaf62de630dedecdb7489eb3c995d9755402e845b621c4301684e0f3dc79b03
11. 0xee5ef8d84c329a24d375330252426182463aa2a536127b218e61007c87101323
12. 0xfee33ee0189dc82c649bd0324796a297b897507b2fddbbe2eff331c40c960ce2
13. 0x239fd39716710e7412bd120c373072b4c0d8b11bb9ee431dad62a2ce57b3d6f4
14. 0x49062da782c4f73855ddd5fdd51840749f928b5f17d1ce75ac50f2d829104e72
15. 0xf0bd63870f0bb378fa300bd33563050dcb7b3e02b44eb3ee550c1c534ec4b246
16. 0x1ac20d30773e1f4f2f811540e9a99b5cca9177c9e2e029acc0d80cf3f1d11f0f
17. 0xd21942ae3214eff88e08ab04884fd4b11958b51af9a0741b7668e2d07a2c56c9
18. 0x9a9024edb5069d88a324facb310a5ce8e495214bbaa968f077bede437390194f
19. 0x9b9ce5b74b9bab5121612ef6b64920a8d453cbf311096a423eef9702747e868a

Day root

0xf43e8dcc3d451a4788b26be904c55e8c4c0fa75c9666796c51db38d37e2c0df8

Chained

0x702d5ac508f08b0d1accf36af25822d8e5660367494edd17a642fb61e158a57a

Published

On Arc Testnet, block 69251483: 0x495162f8936e19f0039918feebe6c307f327cd6bf8c37219620b1970041fa9ae